Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.002357 0.002492 0.002637 0.002802 0.002989 0.003193 0.003437
2025-04-13 0.002130 0.002313 0.002517 0.002765 0.003064 0.003418 0.003879
2025-04-20 0.001910 0.002105 0.002331 0.002617 0.002976 0.003424 0.004048
2025-04-27 0.001811 0.002025 0.002280 0.002614 0.003052 0.003632 0.004503
2025-05-04 0.001762 0.001998 0.002286 0.002676 0.003213 0.003968 0.005206
2025-05-11 0.001695 0.001941 0.002247 0.002674 0.003282 0.004180 0.005773
2025-05-18 0.001667 0.001930 0.002265 0.002746 0.003461 0.004585 0.006792
2025-05-25 0.001610 0.001877 0.002223 0.002728 0.003503 0.004774 0.007478
2025-06-01 0.001549 0.001815 0.002163 0.002680 0.003490 0.004866 0.007993
2025-06-08 0.001528 0.001805 0.002173 0.002734 0.003644 0.005283 0.009487
2025-06-15 0.001503 0.001787 0.002171 0.002768 0.003767 0.005670 0.011205
2025-06-22 0.001460 0.001743 0.002129 0.002735 0.003772 0.005818 0.012312
2025-06-29 0.001404 0.001680 0.002060 0.002662 0.003706 0.005818 0.012995
2025-07-06 0.001364 0.001639 0.002019 0.002631 0.003714 0.005989 0.014618
2025-07-13 0.001296 0.001557 0.001918 0.002496 0.003518 0.005657 0.013660
2025-07-20 0.001271 0.001533 0.001899 0.002494 0.003571 0.005926 0.016067
2025-07-27 0.001263 0.001533 0.001915 0.002551 0.003742 0.006545 0.022344
2025-08-03 0.001240 0.001511 0.001898 0.002549 0.003797 0.006877 0.028431
2025-08-10 0.001235 0.001514 0.001919 0.002615 0.004001 0.007728 0.052452
2025-08-17 0.001211 0.001489 0.001895 0.002599 0.004028 0.008037 0.080333
2025-08-24 0.001182 0.001456 0.001856 0.002555 0.003987 0.008106 0.110072
2025-08-31 0.001175 0.001455 0.001868 0.002604 0.004164 0.009056 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001165 0.001448 0.001871 0.002635 0.004303 0.009972 NaN